Brazil’s sugar output projected at 41–42 million tons

22-Oct-2025 01:49 PM

São Paulo. Gross sugar production in the Latin American country of Brazil is projected to reach 41-42 million tons during the current 2025-26 marketing season, a 3 percent increase from the 2024-25 season. It is noteworthy that Brazil is the world's leading producer and exporter of sugar.

Although sugarcane crushing is experiencing a slight decline, the average sugar recovery rate from sugarcane is high, which is expected to improve overall production.

It is worth noting that approximately 90 percent of Brazil's sugar production occurs in the central southern region, with the remaining 10 percent in the northern and northeastern regions. Located in the central southern region,

São Paulo is the leading sugar producing state, producing 60 percent of the region's sugar. Last year, the sugarcane crop suffered significant losses due to a short summer, drought, and numerous fires, and it was feared this would impact the current year's production.

It is believed that total sugarcane production may decline slightly, resulting in reduced raw material for crushing and processing units.

However, due to the high sucrose content in sugarcane, total sugar production is expected to increase rather than decrease.

Sugar production is expected to increase significantly in Brazil, as well as in India and Thailand, which could significantly ease supply and availability in the global market.

It is worth noting that India is the second largest producer of sugar after Brazil, and Thailand is the second largest exporter.

The Indian government permitted the export of 1 million tons of sugar during the 2024-25 marketing season, but has not yet announced the sugar export quota for the current 2025-26 marketing season.