New Delhi: Due to subdued export trade in recent times, cumin prices have been hovering within a narrow range of fluctuation (varying by ₹3–5 per kg). There is no immediate prospect of a significant price surge, yet prices are not declining either, as they are already at a low level. Experts attribute the impact on Indian cumin exports to high production in China this year. Furthermore, with the arrival of new crops in China, Turkey, and Syria, there is little likelihood of an immediate rise in export demand. However, prices are projected to increase in September. Sources believe that because farmers did not receive fair prices for their produce this season, cumin sowing in production hubs for the upcoming season may be adversely affected—a factor likely to drive a price rise in the future. Meanwhile, due to the record surge in coriander prices this season, forecasts suggest that coriander sowing will cover a larger area across Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan.

It is noteworthy that domestic cumin production this season was lower compared to the previous year; however, total availability remained adequate due to substantial carry-over stocks. Reports indicate that cumin production in Gujarat stood at 32–34 lakh bags this season, down from the previous year's estimate of 44–45 lakh bags. Conversely, production in Rajasthan has increased, estimated at 55–56 lakh bags this year compared to 50–52 lakh bags last year.

Experts believe there is little likelihood of significant price fluctuations (ups or downs) for cumin in the immediate future. Although market arrivals are currently low, both export and local trade activity remain limited. At present, average-quality cumin is trading at ₹185–210 per kg in the markets of producing regions. Prices may see minor fluctuations of ₹3–5 per kg. However, a price rise is anticipated during September and October; this is because supplies from countries like China and Turkey in the international market are expected to be disrupted, while reports regarding a potential decline in Indian cumin sowing are also likely to emerge. It is worth noting that cumin sowing begins in October, with the new crop arriving in the market during January and February.

Following a 14% drop in cumin exports during the 2025-26 fiscal year (April–March), exports fell by another 21% in the first two months of the 2026-27 fiscal year. According to data released by the Spices Board, cumin exports totaled 35,656 tonnes during April–May 2026, generating export earnings of ₹831 crore. In contrast, during the April-May period of the previous year, cumin exports stood at 45,143 tonnes, generating revenue of ₹1,086.31 crore. Notably, cumin exports during the 2025-26 fiscal year amounted to 196,800 tonnes, with earnings of ₹4,611.15 crore; whereas, during 2024-25, total cumin exports were 229,881 tonnes, yielding revenue of ₹6,178.86 crore.