Severe heat is expected in the northwestern region for the next three days.
28-May-2024 05:51 PM
Thiruvananthapuram. On the one hand, the Meteorological Department had predicted extremely torrential rainfall in the coastal areas of West Bengal and Eastern and North-Eastern India on May 27-28 due to the Ramal cyclonic storm, while on the other hand, in the central and northwestern parts of the country, there will be heavy rainfall for three days i.e. on 29th May.
The severe heat wave was expected to continue till May. The intensity of heat is expected to reduce from May 30 when the activity of Western Disturbance inside Northwest India will start increasing.
The Meteorological Department says that the El Nino weather cycle has now started becoming neutral and it will gradually end.
According to the Meteorological Department, there is a 49 percent chance of La Nina weather cycle developing during June-August.
This weather cycle is favorable for the South-West Monsoon, hence its arrival will increase the expectation of good rainfall in the country.
There is a 69 percent chance of the La Nina weather cycle becoming active during July to September, which means that there may be torrential rains in different parts of the country in August-September. There was a severe drought in August last year due to which Kharif crops suffered huge losses.
The Meteorological Department has once again said that during the current year, during the south-west monsoon season, there may be about 106 percent rainfall in the country compared to the long-term average, which will provide adequate water for irrigation of Kharif crops.
July-August is considered to be the month with highest rainfall and most of the Kharif crops are cultivated during the same period.
This year, there is a 31 percent chance of normal monsoon, 32 percent chance of above normal rainfall, 8 percent chance of below normal rainfall and only 2 percent chance of severe deficit for the year.
On the other hand, the probability of excessive rainfall during the monsoon season is 29 percent.
The monsoon core zone is expected to receive above normal rainfall during the four months of June-September 2024. During this period, there is a possibility of 94 percent rainfall in the North-Eastern region and 108 percent rainfall in the North-Western states.