A Super El Niño Pandemic Poses Serious Threats to Many Countries

12-Mar-2026 05:40 PM

Manila. When sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean rise by at least 2 degrees Celsius above the normal average, the likelihood of a 'Super' El Niño increases.

It occurs once every 10 to 15 years. Although the probability of a Super El Niño during the current year is only 20-25 percent, the likelihood of a normal El Niño has increased significantly.

According to meteorologists, the El Niño Pandemic could have serious adverse effects on many countries around the world, covering a vast area from Australia and South Asia to Southeast Asia.

Due to El Niño, ASEAN countries are expected to experience reduced rainfall and significantly increased temperatures, which could significantly reduce production of palm oil, coconut oil, rice, and plantation crops.

Countries in the Indian subcontinent will also be affected by this weather cycle. Meanwhile, the South American continent will experience increased potential for heavy rainfall and severe floods.